Journal

Writing on honest strategy testing

Short pieces on the part nobody enjoys: what a backtest can and cannot tell you, and how to keep score honestly while you search.

  • · 5 min read

    Multiple testing, in plain English

    Every variation you try is another ticket in a lottery. Why twenty attempts almost guarantees one great-looking backtest, and what an honest correction looks like.

    Read it
  • · 4 min read

    What a rejected strategy actually tells you

    A rejection is the tool working, not failing. How to read passed, rejected and undecided verdicts — and why undecided is the most honest of the three.

    Read it
  • · 6 min read

    The eight checks, explained

    Every strategy built in Mithos goes through the same eight checks, with no setting to turn them off. Here is what each one is looking for.

    Read it
Try the honest version

Think you have an edge? Prove it.

A free account includes building, backtesting and three rigor checks. No card, and no broker needed for research.

Start free